- Positions
- 2
Opened position · Feb 26, 2026
AAOIEntry: $61Current return: +35%Went long $AAOI at $61, 229% above the run's low. The trade is up 35% from entry.
Entry to peak
+283%Entry
$61
Feb 26, 2026
Peak
$234
May 13, 2026
Current price
$82
+35%now
- Entry vs the low
- 229% above the low
- low $19 on Nov 21, 2025
- Max drop since entry
- −72%
- May 13 → Oct 22, 2026
- Current price
- $82
- +35% from entry
The journey
Trade 1
LongEntry to peak +283%Ranked trade30D return +61%Opened position
Long AAOIEntry: $6130D return: +61%Feb 26, 2026, 21:32 UTC
$AAOI just put up its strongest year ever. Up 13% AH - Q4 revenue: $134.3M (+34% YoY) - Gross margin: 31.2% vs 28.7% last year - Non-GAAP loss: -$0.01/share. Essentially breakeven. - Full year: $455.7M. That's double 2024's $249.4M. - Q1 2026 guide is $150M–$165M. Margins holding. Capacity being built out right now for next-gen datacenter products. Both CATV and datacenter demand are accelerating simultaneously. That doesn't happen often. $AAOI
Added to position · 4 times
Long AAOIAvg price: $12630D return: +61%Feb 26, 2026, 22:46 UTC to May 11, 2026, 16:01 UTC
Show all 4 trades
Added at $64Feb 26, 2026, 22:46 UTC Retrospective trade
@crux_capital_ Been adding to $AAOI more than anything else in the portfolio lately, and today's call is exactly why. t.co/Ua1fxqBuxW
Added at $110Mar 6, 2026, 16:19 UTC
$AAOI up 8% today. Continuing to build photonics exposure into Nvidia GTC. Ask the average person on the street what photonics is and they will look at you like you are crazy. That lack of awareness is exactly why I think GTC will be a significant inflection point. The optionality is in the gap between what the market understands and what is actually being built. $AAOI $COHR $LITE $CIEN $MRVL
Added at $146May 8, 2026, 00:17 UTC
$AAOI Q1 is in. Here's my take after listening to the full call. Q1 came in at the low end at $151.1M, 29.2% gross margin, -$0.07 EPS. Stock got hit on the print. None of that matters. This is a forward-looking story and the ramp doesn't start until Q3. Management raised FY26 from $1B+ to $1.1B+ revenue and $120M+ to $140M+ non-GAAP operating income. Thompson said internal target is $1.2B. Actual customer demand is $1.4-1.5B. They're guiding the only number they can control, their own capacity. The mid-2027 monthly transceiver run rate went from $378M to $471M. That's ~$1.1B in annualized revenue added to the model in one quarter. 1.6T alone in 2027 is a $2B+ business per Thompson. AAOI's TTM revenue is $507M. Q3 guided up 60-80% sequentially. Q4 similar. If Q2 hits the $189M midpoint, Q4 alone exceeds all of FY25. 40%+ gross margin target by Q4. Three 10%+ customers already in Q1 before the 1.6T ramp. Three multi-year CPO/laser agreements in negotiation. Execution risk is still there. They have to procure InP substrates, hit qualification timelines, and stand up new facilities on schedule. If they execute, this is a very solid long. Sold out through mid-2027 with customer demand 30%+ above what they can produce. Added under $140. Full breakdown linked below. $AAOI $LITE $COHR $AEHR $VIAV
Added at $183May 11, 2026, 16:01 UTC Retrospective trade
@Ren_aramb loaded at $30 and still buying here at $130. t.co/uq7OgQPwsr
Trade 2
LongEntry to peak +18%30D return −22%Opened position
Long AAOIEntry: $13630D return: −22%Aug 8, 2026, 18:25 UTC
Sold all my memory stocks a couple months ago to go all in on photonics. Looks like everyone is turning bearish on memory this weekend. Same thing happened to optics two weeks ago when the timeline was panicking over imaginary capex cuts. Nothing makes me want to buy something
Every trade on the chart
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More journeys on $AAOI
Serenity
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Daniel Romero
+426%Went long $AAOI at $44, 140% above the run's low. The trade is up 85% from entry.
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Ariel Hernandez
+412%Went long $AAOI at $46, 147% above the run's low. The trade is up 80% from entry.
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