- Positions
- 8
Closed position · Nov 24, 2025 to Dec 2, 2025
LITEEntry: $301Close P&L: −2%Went long $LITE at $301, 104% above the run's low, and closed it at $295 for a 2% loss.
Entry to peak
+8%Entry
$301
Nov 24, 2025
Peak
$325
Nov 28, 2025
Closed
$295
−2%Dec 2, 2025
- Entry vs the low
- 104% above the low
- low $148 on Oct 10, 2025
- Max drop since entry
- −11%
- Nov 24 → Nov 24, 2025
- Current price
- $914
- +204% from entry
The journey
Trade 1
LongEntry to peak +8%Ranked tradeClosed −2%Opened position
Long LITEEntry: $301Close P&L: −2%Nov 24, 2025, 21:21 UTC
Google family(CLS/LITE/AVGO/GOOG) + Gold/Miner saved my ass today t.co/VlKoie4j6s
Added to position
Long LITEPrice: $283Close P&L: −2%Nov 25, 2025, 17:31 UTC Retrospective trade
@hi_im_vance yes, because I bought AVGO Goog cls lite in the same basket
Closed position
Long LITEExit: $295Close P&L: −2%Dec 2, 2025, 17:10 UTC
Exited all of $LITE/$CLS at opening to wait for it cool down as the $GOOG beta. And added $COHR/$AXTI/$SITM/$TSEM when NQ dip. Also took profit of half of my $MDB 2X as it hit my target price. For $CRDO I’m not selling a single share, this guy has 3X-4X TAM now, super bullish. t.co/Dm2mGrnuHH
Trade 2
LongEntry to peak +99%30D return +17%Opened position
Long LITEEntry: $57530D return: +17%Feb 9, 2026, 17:55 UTC
@TShirtnJeans2 My current holdings of optical names are LITE/COHR/TSEM/AXTI/GLW/CIEN
Trade 3
LongEntry to peak +58%30D return +7%Opened position
Long LITEEntry: $72430D return: +7%Mar 3, 2026, 16:41 UTC
Bought SNDK and LITE when SPX hits 6720, fake broken down to make a bear trap then pulled above. I hope SPX can make a double bottom today at 6720 so I can buy more semis.
Trimmed position · 4 times
Long LITEAvg price: $66530D return: +7%Mar 11, 2026, 13:38 UTC to Mar 30, 2026, 14:31 UTC
Show all 4 trades
Trimmed at $647, −11% from entryMar 11, 2026, 13:38 UTC
cut lots of $LITE and $COHR $GLW today and bought $CRDO for hedge because of this, Citrini might FUD tomorrow.🤣
Trimmed at $629, −13% from entryMar 16, 2026, 20:03 UTC
For people like me it’s “sell the news” event, I was following and part of the sell off on LITE/NVDA/VRT/INTC. It’s not about bullish or bearish, it’s just because I need more time to research and digest what Jensen said to understand which ones to buy back I guess this market is full of pods thinking in the same way as me.
Trimmed at $722, 0% from entryMar 23, 2026, 17:25 UTC Retrospective trade
I think we are entering into a super choppy period overwhelmed by the headlines similar to March/April last year. From my experience of last year, chasing long or short in this environment will be super painful as no clear trends. That's why I chose this "buy when price level hits and hold" strategy and use positioning to control the risk. At the opening today I already cut the postion from around 35-40% to roughly 25% as planed. But I iterated the portfolio a little bit compared to the original post: Now I'm holding MU/SNDK/LITE/TSEM shares and AMD/INTC leap calls(2027 March 0.75 delta) instead of TQQQ. Also holding CVX/VG 3months calls for hedging purpose.
Trimmed at $661, −9% from entryMar 30, 2026, 14:31 UTC
Reduced the exposure at the open, mostly on LITE/MU/INTC. Don't like their price action for now. Will add more MU if it can reclaim the 50d EMA; already set the alerts. Now 25% semi + 10% gold. Will chill in Hawaii as the market opens at 3:30 AM every day, lol
Trade 4
LongEntry to peak +45%30D return +14%Opened position
Long LITEEntry: $79030D return: +14%Apr 28, 2026, 14:39 UTC
Today add back semi across the board, glad to see late bulls get trapped and sell like no tomorrow. $NVDA $UCTT $SANM (perfect ER) $FLEX $LITE $TSEM $AMKR (amazing ER) Tomorrow is a big day and LO/HF will be very reluctant to buy. CTA small buy but pension fund big sell.
Trade 5
LongEntry to peak +15%30D return −6%Opened position
Long LITEEntry: $99630D return: −6%May 5, 2026, 20:51 UTC
Largely MISS buyside expectations in terms of both Q3 revenue and Q4 revenue and GM guidance, I sold most of the $LITE already AH after the bounce. I will wait for the earning call to decide if buy it back. Or wait for tomorrow to see the price action first.
Trimmed position
Long LITEPrice: $99630D return: −6%May 5, 2026, 20:51 UTC
Largely MISS buyside expectations in terms of both Q3 revenue and Q4 revenue and GM guidance, I sold most of the $LITE already AH after the bounce. I will wait for the earning call to decide if buy it back. Or wait for tomorrow to see the price action first.
Added to position · 4 times
Long LITEAvg price: $89830D return: −6%May 5, 2026, 22:37 UTC to May 18, 2026, 20:15 UTC
Show all 4 trades
Added at $970May 5, 2026, 22:37 UTC
Added at $872May 7, 2026, 19:35 UTC
Added at $867May 18, 2026, 18:59 UTC
Actually for semi, I should watch for $SMH, will wait for it to hit 21d EMA. When it hits I'll aggressively buy this week, already added $LITE today, which is at 8 WEEK EMA I still believe Mr Trump and Bessent won't let US10Y to sit at 4.6% for long. For NVDA ER, at this price level I don't think it would cause big crash to the market or at least to semi overall, given the CY2027 EPS is almost at $14.XX....But I won't bet on the ER. Still bullish on semi and the market. A healthy correction can't change the structure.
Added at $883May 18, 2026, 20:15 UTC
Trade 6
LongEntry to peak +15%Closed +1%Opened position
Long LITEEntry: $867Close P&L: +1%Jun 10, 2026, 18:27 UTC
I think I was overly optimitic, CPI was indeed cooler especially the MoM core CPI, this support the thesis of "the oil price shock is imminent" and "the peak of the inflation surge could be passed" However, bulls are still hesitating to buy given the remaining events before opex next week. Given this I have cut all of the 2x/3X etf and all 2026 calls in this year based on my plan in: t.co/3bDxTeR5xs The good news is, although the bulls are staying frosty, the bears also are having a hard time to flush the price. 50D EMA is very close and negative/uncertain events are being cleared one by one. Time is still on the bull side. My plan is to buy shares and leap calls which have high relative strength until OPEX. Will buy aggressively when SPX/NDX tests 50d EMA or yesterday's low Current the heavist postion LITE/AAOI/DRAM/CRDO/MU/SNDK
Closed position
Long LITEExit: $876Close P&L: +1%Jun 17, 2026, 20:03 UTC
I think the worst case happens, Warsh was not transparent at all and he was super hawkish but as I said he didn’t QT. As SPX broke down the 21d EMA today, the bullish gap was filled. Dollar index is also super bullish. I’ve sold most of my positions except NVDA/AAPL leap calls.
Trade 7
LongEntry to peak +5%Closed −6%Opened position
Long LITEEntry: $895Close P&L: −6%Aug 9, 2026, 11:57 UTC Retrospective trade
Yes like I said before, “optical/photonic’s positioning is much cleaner than memory ” I started a small position of $LITE $TSEM $MRVL right after $AAOI’s ER on Thursday and sold $STX/$WDC before $WDC’s ER. I think probably post $MU’s ER would give a better picture for memory.
Closed position
Long LITEExit: $838Close P&L: −6%Aug 10, 2026, 15:30 UTC
I took profits on $TSEM $SMTC and stop out on $LITE to avoid betting on LITE/COHR's ER this week. and took profits on $RKLB/$SPCX before $RKLB's ER today. Sold my $SPCX with $135 limit order My trading style is never betting on any ER if no insights advantage vs the market.
Trade 8
LongEntry to peak +29%30D return +4%Opened position
Long LITEEntry: $88830D return: +4%Aug 14, 2026, 12:23 UTC Retrospective trade
I’m not chasing any shits so added $COHR $LITE $CBRS yesterday and now I’m well balanced: SW, AI server, storage , space, optical, INTC/CBRS, AI4s. Will revisit and cut the weak ones and adding hedge post vix expiration next week. My first PT for soxx is $618, for NQ is 32300.
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