cryptoshiro_

cryptoshiro_

t.me/shiroalpha

Jun 6, 2026, 12:00 UTC

Gm, I'm currently about 40% invested in the market. This is what I've been advocating for months: always keep dry powder. 🫡 I exited most of my spot positions back in November and avoided a large part of the downside. Since then, I've mostly focused on small caps and shorter-term plays. Unfortunately, as you've seen, I got back into the market a bit too early after waiting for months, I made a big buy around BTC $73k. But I still have cash ready. I added more at BTC $62k and $60k, and for now I'm happy to hold and wait. With so much uncertainty, there's no need to rush into deploying more capital. My two biggest positions after BTC are still HYPE and SERV, both of which remain in solid profit. (Although my HYPE position isn't as large as it once was since I took profits on the way up.) I also hold a few smaller positions in strong projects within strong narratives like AI and privacy. Some of them are $NOCK, $VVV, and $REI. Most are still in profit (not REI), so I'm comfortable reducing them if needed. Beyond that, I have a few small degen positions in narratives like Robotics and the World Cup, but nothing sizable and nothing intended as a long-term hold. Of course, I'm still actively looking for opportunities. I've missed a few great setups across large caps, privacy and AI, that I probably should have taken. And there are opportunities outside crypto as well. I must admit that a few concerns have started to emerge around crypto lately. Some are related to DeFi and the possibility that AI could make exploits, and find smart contract vulnerabilities. Or the MicroStrategy/Saylor concentration risks, and the fact they started selling BTC for the first time since 2022 (very small sales tbh). Others are tied to capital flows: what if most of the money continues rotating into AI and equities while crypto gets left behind? But then again, crypto has always had a wall of bearish narratives hanging over it. People said Bitcoin would be banned. • They said governments would shut down mining. • They said regulations would kill the industry. • They said ETFs would never be approved. • They said the China mining ban would be the end of Bitcoin. • They said environmental concerns would destroy adoption. • They said stablecoins would be outlawed. • They said the whole ecosystem was a scam because of LUNA or FTX. Now people talk about quantum computing as an existential threat. Yet somehow, Bitcoin has survived every cycle and come out stronger each time. That doesn't mean every concern should be ignored. But history shows that betting against Bitcoin's ability to survive has rarely been a winning strategy. Anyway, I'm not the type to abandon crypto and suddenly rotate 100% into stocks, AI, or whatever is hot. But I'm not stupid either. If crypto is slow and opportunities are limited, I'll also look elsewhere. Although more often than not, the best opportunities come when crypto is dumping, everyone is doomposting, and the Fear & Greed Index is sitting at extreme lows. And right now, stock market indexes like S&P500 are at ATH and AI stocks have already seen massive moves, so the easy opportunities may be disappearing. That said, I still believe there will be strong performers in both AI and robotics, so I'm still researching those spaces. It's just the beginning. As for the possibility of making a 100% return on meaningful size over the next few years, I think BTC could be one of the better candidates. We're likely much closer to a bottom than a top, and I expect we'll see $120k+ again during a bull run in a year or two. So I'm keeping dry powder for a lower BTC entry, and also in case we get a good dip on S&P500, other major indexes, or even gold. So far, the dip in gold has been small, and I don't see it having a better ROI on a 2-year timeframe compared to BTC at current prices. Could be very wrong. In the meantime I'm holding my current assets, and going for some short-term plays on narrative tokens, and on stocks in the strong narratives as well. What are you doing yourself?